The former Hurricane Calvin, now a weakening tropical storm, is now looking like it will cross over or near the island of Hawaii tomorrow night or early Wednesday, then move south of the other islands. The peaks of Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa create formidable challenges for any approaching storm, and it will be interesting to see what they do to Calvin.
If it stays on this course, the prediction is for only for “the potential for some peripheral impacts” as it slides past to the south of Honolulu.
There’s a bit of “good news and bad news” to this.
On the one hand, whew. Dodged the bullet once again.
But this is the first storm of the season to take aim at the islands from its origin off of Mexico directly across to Hawaii. If that natural steering mechanism doesn’t change, it seems likely other storms could be come at us along the same track as hurricane season continues for several more months.
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We have had significantly more rainfall in Kahuku. Our lawn is still green without any irrigation. We filled up our propane and topped off our cars. Also stocked up on cat food. Glad it is not going to have an impact, but we do feel the incoming El Nino has raised water temperatures. I hope to never go through what Kauai endured. All we can do is make sure we are prepared
I’m closely following updates on tropical storm Calvin and its likely impact here in Hilo. As late as yesterday evening, the weather people were predicting gusts here as high as 55 mph (pretty good for a storm passing South of the Big Island). This morning, however, they are predicting gusts only as high as 24 mph. They note various factors causing Calvin to weaken, included its passing over cooler waters, drawing in more stable drier air, and encountering increasing vertical wind shear.
Like Mr.iLind, I’m more concerned about the robust storms likely to spin our way later. I am curious about what the latest thinking is about how much protection Mauna Loa and Mauna Kea would give us from a hurricane. Would they weaken a hurricane headed directly toward the Big Island, or would it survive but be diverted around the Big Island?