Tag Archives: Honolulu rail project

Tuesday…Back to the city after nearly two decades, transit funding catch, behavioral economics, and a few more old photos

Well, I’m going back to work, at least for a while. City Council Member Duke Bainum called last week and asked if I would be interested in filling in temporarily for a staffer who has had to return to the mainland. I worked at the council as senior advisor to then-councilmember Neil Abercrombie from 1988-1990, so it’s been quite a while since I made Honolulu Hale my home-away-from-home. The chance to see how things have changed in the way the council does its business piqued my interest and so I said yes. And, after very quick preliminaries, I’m starting today.

I did provide fair warning that I’ll be blogging through the experience, following the same informal approach I did while working at the legislature. That is, public (or non-confidential) events, documents, procedures, rules, insider perspectives and debates are fair game for blogging. Confidential matters remain off limits, except perhaps indirectly.

In any case, I trust that it’s going to be interesting.

Meanwhile, I may have understated the funding issue that the city council has to deal with tomorrow.

On Sunday, I wrote:

Here’s another somewhat overlooked point. Mayor Hannemann has proposed beginning construction even before the federal environmental impact assessment process has been completed and well before there’s any commitment of federal funding.

This means that for now, at least, the rail is being entirely funded by the city. To do this, Hannemann proposes a billion-dollars of general obligation bonds. As I understand it, once the city goes ahead in this manner, this phase of the project will not be eligible for retroactive federal funding.

Some believe the mayor is bullying ahead in this way to end run the environmental process by awarding the first contracts and locking in his particular choice of technology without waiting for the results of the city’s environmental review. If federal dollars aren’t involved, he doesn’t have to wait for the process to be completed because it doesn’t apply to city-funded projects.

That prompted this email response from a prominent backer of a more flexible and less expensive rail technology than the mayor has chosen:

I wanted to comment that I believe if the Mayor awards any of the contracts related to the Honolulu transit – before the final Record of Decision (by the Federal Transit Administration), we will not be eligible for any New Starts funding for the project. Such a move would jeopardize the entire project should the city move ahead and start with their own funding – before the final EIS is approved and subsequent ROD is favorably issued.

I spoke to the FTA region 9 the other week, and he confirmed that the ROD is key before the city can begin construction.

This was further clarified by another person tracking the process, who said that in order to be eligible for future federal funding, the city cannot begin construction before either the Record of Decision or a “Letter of No Prejudice” is issued, essentially providing a waiver of the ROD requirement.

This funding issue is further complicated by the fact that Honolulu, at best, is likely to see only a very small percentage of the overall cost of the mayor’s transit system paid with federal dollars. While many systems have qualified for nearly 50 percent federal funding, Honolulu is looking at something closer to 10 percent, in part because of the inefficiencies of the mayor’s proposed all-elevated technology.

In any case, the tomorrow’s City Council meeting is where these issues all come to a head.

We were listening to NPR’s All Things Considered on the drive home yesterday afternoon and happened to catch an excellent segment describing the development of “behavioral economics”. It provides an excellent intro to this important approach to the world.

[text]I found a few more photos of my parents which appear to be from the period around 1939-40, when they were newly married. I’m not sure where this photo was taken, but it shows my parents and my mother’s dog, Kiki, who appears in a couple of other photos as well. Just click on this photo to see the others in this little gallery.

Looking at this photo again, it looks a lot like the area at the entry to Miller Hall at the UH Manoa Campus, looking back to the railing that runs along the sidewalk surrounding Varney Circle. But then it could be any number of other similar spots, I suppose.

I was struck by the picture of a party with a pig roasting over an open fire. It looks so old, from such a different era, that I thought it couldn’t have been from the same era as my parents. Then I noticed that one of the men is holding Kiki in his lap. Without a doubt, she places the photo! I just sent these over to my sister and I’m hoping my mother will be able to tell the stories behind the photos. More to follow.

Monday…Not a good morning, clean energy disagreement, railroaded on rail

–Beginning cat commentary (for those who want to skip down to other stuff–

[text]It’s not a good Monday morning because Romeo has gone missing. Romeo was a no-show at dinner time last night, which for Mr. Romeo is definitely unusual. Even the sound of cans of cat food being opened didn’t draw him in. And his absence turned a planned family photo into an anxiety producing exercise.

And he didn’t show up anytime overnight, as far as we can tell. He wasn’t in bed, and wasn’t around when I got up for a 2 a.m. check and another at 4 a.m. He wasn’t there to wake me up with those sharp kneeding claws, as is his usual routine. And now, at 5:20, still no Romeo. I should say that Annie has failed to show up for 12-24 hours on a couple of occasions, and Toby spent a period where he wandered more than we would have liked. But Romeo has been pretty much a homebody since adopting our household. So we can’t help but worry.

[7:30 a.m. update. I wandered the vacant areas around our house, as well as streets above and below. Then, just when I was about to send out a distress email, we found Romeo hiding in one of Ms. Kili’s spots in the back of our closet. We had checked there last night but not this morning. He may have come in during the night, perhaps while I was out beating the bushes this morning. In any case, he seems to have been on the losing end of another good trouncing, although this time the injuries are on his front end instead of his rear. I’m letting him rest and eat a bit, then it’s back on the antibiotics. Something tells me a vet visit may be lurking in his future. We’ll have to assess his condition this evening.]

–End of cat commentary–

Hmmmm. It appears that there is disagreement in the clean energy ranks. I received several emails overnight touting a “Clean Energy Rally” at the State Capitol at noon today, sponsored by the Blue Planet Foundation in support of HB 1464.

SUPPORT HB 1464 – NO NEW FOSSIL FUEL

THE GIST: The intent of House Bill 1464 is to prohibit any new or expanded fossil fuel power plants in Hawaii. Our current 92% dependency on imported coal and oil for electricity is enough, we don’t need to add any more. Hawaii’s clean energy future is based on sun, wind, wave, and other indigenous, clean energy sources, not coal and oil. The bill needs to be clear that no new coal or oil-fired facility of any sort be permitted.

But Life of the Land’s Henry Curtis takes issue with the bill in a separate email.

What does “no new fossil fuel” mean?
Should we replace imported petroleum oil with imported palm oil from recently clear-cutted tropical rainforests?

Didn’t the State Auditor conclude this week that DBEDT has mis-handled a large number of procurement bids?

Isn’t the Senate Ways and Means Committee investigating DBEDT?

Should we endorse the DBEDT’s Hawaii Clean Energy Initiative (HCEI)?

Neither the HCEI Memorandum of Understanding (January 2008) nor the HCEI Energy Agreement (October 2008) mentions “no new fossil fuel.”

HB 1464 purports to ban new fossil fuel power plants. But doesn’t it allow an exception for anyone who wants to build a new fossil fuel power plants?

Doesn’t the bill exempt anyone who meets at least ONE of the following exemptions:

(a) co-ops;
(b) non-utilities;
(c) using green fuel made from fossil fuel;
(d) using fuel mixtures containing 0.1% biofuel; and
(e) creating power from multiple 2.5 MW generators.

Shouldn’t the focus be on banning high climate impact power plants?

I’m sure we’ll be hearing more on this debate, although the folks at Blue Planet certainly have more resources to spread their viewpoint.

Let’s see. My old friend Charles Smith weighed in over the weekend on the rail debate, first with a short comment on Friday’s post (which I’ll reprint here so it isn’t missed), and then with an extended observation, which I’m quoting here in full.

As someone who lived in Honolulu for decade and now lives in the SF Bay Area, I can tell you the heavy-rail BART system works well for transporting people long distances between commuter areas and downtown. But it is very costly and works best when underground in urban areas. L.A.’s new system
shares the right-of-way with freeways–a very smart idea because it doesn’t add visual pollution and the ROW already exists. Honolulu should follow this approach. Nobody seems to realize you can have a hybrid system: a heavy rail from suburbs to a central urban station which could be served by light rail with urban zones. One size does not fit all. BART was built in the late 60s and was considered “best technology” at that time–it was also appropriate for an earthquake zone and for crossing beneath the Bay. Honolulu has other issues and landscapes, and money is much tighter now. Cost should matter and BART -like systems are horrendously expensive.

OK, back in real time. while I can understand the planners’ POV that voters will turn down any proposal which takes away street lanes, they seem really stuck in a “one size fits all” solution. For instance, isn’t it obvious that a bus only lane on Kalanianiole as per the Brazilian model would work given all the constraints, while a BART-type line from West Oahu might be appropriate but stop being appropriate once it reached the downtown core? Would sacrificing one lane of King and Beretania to a light rail line really impose that much of a burden on drivers?

Few seem to realize the era of cheap oil is closing and driving will become very expensive. Electric cars are fine if you’re generating vast quantities of electricity from sources other than oil but that’s not in the cards without major investments and a complete reappraisal of NIMBYism. Nobody wants windmills, fine, then follow the German model and solarize every roof on Oahu. But instead we have insane ventures like putting huge wind and solar farms on Lanai and then running $1 billion cables undersea to Oahu. You could solarize a big piece of Oahu for that $1 billion, and nobody seems to mention you’ll lose huge amounts of the power in transmitting it hundreds of miles undersea. (And no, superconducting is not yet a reality at room temperature. It works in the lab when everything is doused with supercold liquid nitrogen.)

This is the classic “ghetto-ization” of industry: put it somewhere where the residents can’t complain (Murdock owns 98% of Lanai, perfect!) and keep the bourgeoisie happy because there’s no impact on their protected lifestyle. Meanwhile according to Bloomberg, the residents of Lanai won’t get a single kilowatt of electricity from the huge proposed windmill installations; they’ll continue paying the highest rates in the state. And Oahu residents will lap it all up because it’s all a “painless” extension of their utterly unsustainable lifestyle.

(Recall I lived on Lanai and still keep in touch with my high school friends from that era.)

Does it really make sense to spend $1 billion (estimates run $600 million to $2 billion–nobody has the slightest clue as to the real final costs) to run power cable to Oahu to power a rail system which has insurmountable problems with parking, right of way, violation of New Urbanist principles and steep costs?

This really has to be thought out with an eye on Peak Oil and total system costs. The technocrats who designed BART didn’t do everything perfectly, but they really had no choice to a super-heavy rail system which could survive an 8.0 earthquake and cross beneath the bay. Now it seems Honolulu is on the verge of accepting a super-costly solution which only works for certain segments and conditions because drivers will complain? What will they want when gasoline is $10/gallon or strictly rationed? That’s not tat far away, despite all the propaganda of “don’t worry, be happy, we’ve got 400 years of coal,” etc. And even that’s not true; we have Peak Coal as well.

Recent additions to BART lines cost about $1 billion a mile. That’s a lot of money, and paying for it will stretch out for decades. I think Honolulu residents need to look beyond Mainland models, perhaps to lower cost mass transit in Brazil and hybrid systems
which deploy whatever works best in specific corridors.

chuck smith

By the way, if you aren’t a reader of Chuck’s fine blog, Of Two Minds, you should be. Check it out.

One last rail thought. I was browsing through comments submitted during the “scoping” phase of the city’s EIS process for the proposed rail, and came upon this startling statement in an official response:

Vehicle and system technologies will not be selected prior to the draft Environmental Impact Statement. Comments about issues related to vehicle and system technologies will be considered when specifications are developed.

But the draft EIS was only delivered in November 2008, and a year earlier the public was being told it was just too late to change the technology choice already made by the mayor and his people.

So was the official city position in mid-2006, that no technology choices would be made prior to the EIS, simply a lie? A distortion? An obfuscation?